Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 17.309577 19.662114 22.225270 25.226668 28.646887 32.425355 36.919557
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 14.503599 17.692212 21.426050 26.126773 31.895719 38.756389 47.552780
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 12.038456 15.656691 20.177711 26.254822 34.232141 44.377933 58.311735
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 9.710647 13.403468 18.304819 25.308998 35.101969 48.368845 67.811347
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 7.898934 11.530496 16.632660 24.358468 35.826890 52.326360 78.055170
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 6.665289 10.261178 15.594208 24.128867 37.546003 57.997329 91.857971
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 5.766351 9.338081 14.915658 24.326599 39.958193 65.146916 109.335985
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 4.971689 8.445934 14.142884 24.250936 41.944429 72.011438 127.770444
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 4.471351 7.953874 13.939531 25.088725 45.622153 82.363854 154.293033
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 3.939777 7.319106 13.391159 25.233870 48.122530 91.141143 179.829656
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 3.378551 6.537136 12.454181 24.505616 48.882871 96.879716 200.812883
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.961881 5.959006 11.802960 24.212771 50.443048 104.464866 227.157395
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.695829 5.645570 11.638930 24.925797 54.315617 117.733177 269.084489
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.489324 5.420268 11.618994 25.950861 59.093564 133.954860 321.548099
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.241272 5.063888 11.265115 26.188044 62.193511 147.156929 370.267121
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.947526 4.555324 10.492983 25.329881 62.589373 154.222390 405.763919
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.695343 4.099562 9.764917 24.444342 62.760452 160.836692 441.909558
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.520446 3.798855 9.352318 24.266228 64.710147 172.416810 494.579493
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.390012 3.585889 9.118376 24.507460 67.838218 187.829438 562.240663
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.261192 3.354779 8.799630 24.465078 70.198746 201.705900 629.180831
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.187009 3.255672 8.809372 25.338607 75.380970 224.842391 731.166592
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.091468 3.081522 8.587134 25.507920 78.535256 242.732851 821.330542
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.974502 2.826693 8.096933 24.789168 78.823651 251.917546 884.948998